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Killer Tsunami Raises Fresh Questions for Phuket

Thursday, October 28, 2010
News Analysis

HUNDREDS of people have died in Indonesia because, according to news reports, no early warning came before a three-metre tsunami this week.

But Phuket's emergency chief hastened to reassure visitors and residents today that their safety from big waves is being guarded.

The protection offered by tsunami early warning systems continues to be controversial. San Janpawong, Director of the Phuket office of the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, did add today that three of 19 Phuket warning towers had not sounded in tests earlier this month, because thieves had stolen wiring.

There was also the escaping Thai tsunami warning buoy that broke free and drifted from its mooring earlier this year, and is still, as far as we are able to tell, being repaired before being reattached.

The problem is that with tsunamis in the region, there is no guarantee of adequate warnings. The latest victims in Indonesia were too close to the epicentre of the undersea earthquake to escape.

But undoubtedly, a warning could have saved some lives.

There have been too many smaller but equally deadly tsunamis since the ''big one'' in 2004 that killed 5400 people in Thailand and a total of about 220,000 around the Indian Ocean, mostly in Indonesia.

What officials have to say about the adequacy of the present warning system needs to be measured against the public awareness of the danger of tsunamis, and the capacity of people to know what to do if a second ''big one'' does happen to strike the coast of Phuket and the Andaman.

The answer is that awareness is barely evident. Resorts continue to spring up in the form of restored or new establishments along Thailand's Andaman coast.

Tourists should be told as they check in that they are visiting a coast where another big tsunami is unlikely, but always possible.

''Who wakes us at 3am if a tsunami comes?'' is a question every visitor to every resort around the Indian Ocean should ask as soon as they arrive.

It wouldn't hurt for a few more residents in Thailand to ask the same question, too.
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Comments

Comments have been disabled for this article.

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Any warning system would not have been much help to these people as the center of the quake and source of the tsunami was very close to the islands. The best warning was the quake itself as I understand the waves were only 5 - 10 minuets later.

Phuket is a totally different situation as the source of the tsunami was approx 600km from Phuket. It also will be something like 180 - 200 years before enough pressure has built up along the subduction fault zone to generate another tsunami from that area. By then warning systems will be capable of giving accurate information.

Posted by John B on October 28, 2010 22:34

Editor Comment:

International media is reporting that there was a warning system in place, but it failed to work. Every expert we've heard suggests that the danger of a second big tsunami in the region is ever-present and totally unpredictable.

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This is is an interesting study.

http://esciencenews.com/articles/2008/10/29/scientists.find.evidence.tsunamis.indian.ocean.shores.long.2004

Posted by JohnB on October 29, 2010 09:29

Editor Comment:

Let's hope that last line is noted: "This history calls for sustained efforts in tsunami education."

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According to this website http://www.andaman.org/mapstsunami/tsunami.htm the tsunami on December 2004 is only 400 km of more than 2000 km fault.
The tsunami of October 2010 is another section of the fault on the south.
Now the big question for Thailand is when the largest section of the fault between North-Sumatra and Myammar (about 800 km) will break? And when it will happen, Thailand and the Andaman Golden Coast will not have Sumatra Island to protect us.
So all constructions built on flat lands may disappear again sooner or later.
Investors continuous to built hotels, resorts and properties in dangerous coastal zones because they expect their invested money back within 10 years so they believe the risk at minimal.

Posted by Whistle-Blower on October 29, 2010 11:14


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